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DERBY DAY 2026 — 14 RACES · 165 HORSES · $12M+ IN PURSES

Kentucky Derby Day 2026

Complete 14-race card • Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky. Neural network predictions powered by 15.8 million training samples across 5 racing disciplines. 9 stakes races including the $5M Kentucky Derby.

Saturday, May 2, 2026 Churchill Downs • Louisville, KY 14 Races • 165 Horses • May 2, 2026
Derby Day — First Post May 2, 2026 • 11:00 AM ET
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Days
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Hours
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Min
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Prediction Locks In
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Since your last visit:
94.4%
AI Accuracy
15.8M
Races Analyzed
144
Data Points Per Horse
5
Racing Sports
188
Champions Studied
SHA-256
Tamper-Proof
Predictions last updated: — • Hash: —
Purse
$5M
Distance
1¼ mi
Surface
Dirt
Field Size
20
Road to the Derby · G1 Preps 100-50-25-15-10 · G2 Preps 50-25-15-10-5 · Post positions drawn Apr 25, 2026 · Auto-updates from URIN backend

AI’s Top Pick

v4.7 · Live Updating
URIN’s #1 Pick · 20 horses
Our AI’s top-ranked horse to win this race
Commandment
3yo Colt · Brad Cox · Luis Saez · Wathnan Racing · Into Mischief
85.6
AI Confidence
8.6%
AI Fair Odds
150
Derby Qualifying Points
  • Florida Derby (G1) winner March 28, 2026 — 100 KD qualifying points earned
  • Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) winner earlier in the prep season — ideal foundation
  • Brad Cox, Luis Saez, Into Mischief — premier connections for the Classic distance
← Back to #1
Which Past Champion Does This Horse Resemble?
— — profile match
Speed
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Style
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Rating
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Our AI compares this horse to 188 past champions across 5 racing sports to find the closest match
Why Our AI Picked This Horse
    Live Updating
    SHA-256: pre-race • locks 15 min before post
    URIN Confidence Distribution
    Every horse ranked by win probability — taller and brighter means URIN is more confident
    Pace Scenario
    Where each horse typically runs in the first quarter-mile
    Analyzing pace distribution…
    Where Our AI Disagrees With Oddsmakers
    Horses our AI ranks differently from the official betting line
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    AI Odds Board
    All runners at a glance — URIN's estimated fair odds
    Value Picks
    Where our AI sees the biggest gap between its odds and the morning line

    The Field

    URIN v4.7 · 20 Runners
    URIN vs Morning Line — Edge Indicators
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    Overlay (Value) URIN sees higher win probability than the oddsmaker
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    Underlay (Fade) URIN sees lower win probability than the oddsmaker
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    Fair Price URIN and the morning line agree within 1 point
    Morning line set by Churchill Downs oddsmaker after the post draw. Edge chips appear once morning lines publish.
    URIN’s Ranking
    Loading URIN predictions...
    Fetching v4.7 analysis from backend
    Powered by URIN v4.7 · 94.4% Accuracy · 15.8M Races Analyzed · Predictions Update Until Lock
    Official Field
    Loading official field...
    Sorted by Road to the Derby points
    Get URIN’s Locked Prediction Before Post Time
    SHA-256 locked 30 minutes before the gates open. Join for early access to locked predictions.
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    Methodology & Disclaimer

    URIN v4.7 predictions are generated by a neural network trained on 15.8 million samples across 5 racing disciplines. Predictions are probabilistic estimates based on historical performance patterns and statistical modeling. Each prediction is cryptographically locked via SHA-256 hash 30 minutes before post time.

    Important: These predictions are for informational and educational purposes only. Horse racing outcomes are inherently unpredictable. Past performance does not guarantee future results. RaceHP.ai is not a gambling service. Please participate only in legal wagering in your jurisdiction.