NASCAR CUP SERIES — AMERICA’S SUPERSPEEDWAY — THE INTERMEDIATE OVAL

W\u00fcrth 400

NASCAR Cup Series • Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth. Neural network predictions powered by 15.8 million training samples across 5 racing disciplines. 267 laps. 1.5 miles. Intermediate drafting.

Sunday, May 3, 2026 Texas Motor Speedway • Fort Worth, Texas 267 Laps • 1.5 mi • Asphalt • 38 Cars

Green Flag — May 3, 2026 • 3:30 PM ET

—

Days

—

Hours

—

Min

—

Sec

94.4%

Model AUC

15.8M

Training Samples

144

Features

Sports Unified

188

Champions

SHA-256

Verified

Texas Motor Speedway — The Intermediate Capital

Track Length

1.5 mi

Banking (Turns)

24°

2025 Winner

Austin Cindric

Capacity

80,000

Laps

267

Banking

24°

Surface

Asphalt

Capacity

80K

VERIFIED ✓ Chase Elliott wins 2026 Würth 400 — URIN’s pre-race top pick was Kyle Larson Track Record →

🏆 RACE WINNER Chase Elliott · Hendrick Motorsports #9 · 2020 Cup Champion · 2nd Cup win of 2026 Top 5: Elliott · Hamlin · Bowman · Reddick · Buescher

Entry List — 38 Cars Confirmed

The 38-car entry list for the W\u00fcrth 400 has been confirmed by NASCAR. URIN v4.7 predictions are generated from 15.8M training samples with 144 features across 5 unified racing disciplines.

URIN's Top Pick

v4.7 · Verified

#1 of 40

URIN Top Pick · Race Complete

Kyle Larson

Hendrick Motorsports #5 · Chevrolet · 2x Cup Champion (2021, 2023) · 32 Career Wins

URIN Rating

Cup Champion

2x Cup Series champion (2021, 2023) and arguably the most versatile driver of his generation — sprint cars, dirt, and asphalt
32 career Cup wins by age 33 — pace-of-victory rivals Hendrick teammates Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson at the same age
Texas intermediate track favors aggressive throttle traces — URIN flags Larson on champion-DNA similarity to Jimmie Johnson (91%)

Verified SHA-256: ad4756fd039daad8… · Result: Did not finish top 5 — LOSS

The Field

URIN v4.7 · NASCAR Verified

URIN's Ranking

Kyle Larson

Hendrick Motorsports #5

INVICTUS: 64 · Champion Match: Jimmie Johnson (91%)

★ URIN TOP PICK

URIN Rating

Tyler Reddick

23XI Racing #45

INVICTUS: 63 · Champion Match: Jeff Gordon (89%)

URIN Rating

Denny Hamlin

Joe Gibbs Racing #11

INVICTUS: 62 · Champion Match: Dale Earnhardt (88%)

URIN Rating

Christopher Bell

Joe Gibbs Racing #20

INVICTUS: 61 · Champion Match: Tony Stewart (87%)

URIN Rating

Ryan Blaney

Team Penske #12

INVICTUS: 60 · Champion Match: Jeff Gordon (86%)

URIN Rating

William Byron

Hendrick Motorsports #24

INVICTUS: 59 · Champion Match: Jimmie Johnson (85%)

URIN Rating

Chase Elliott

Hendrick Motorsports #9

INVICTUS: 58 · Champion Match: Jeff Gordon (84%)

🏆 ACTUAL RACE WINNER

URIN Rating

Joey Logano

Team Penske #22

INVICTUS: 57 · Champion Match: Dale Earnhardt (83%)

URIN Rating

Ty Gibbs

Joe Gibbs Racing #54

INVICTUS: 56 · Champion Match: Tony Stewart (82%)

URIN Rating

Brad Keselowski

RFK Racing #6

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Rusty Wallace (81%)

URIN Rating

Bubba Wallace

23XI Racing #23

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Dale Earnhardt (80%)

URIN Rating

Chris Buescher

RFK Racing #17

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Mark Martin (80%)

URIN Rating

Shane van Gisbergen

Trackhouse Racing #97

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Jeff Gordon (79%)

URIN Rating

Carson Hocevar

Spire Motorsports #77

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Tony Stewart (78%)

URIN Rating

Daniel Suarez

Spire Motorsports #7

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Tony Stewart (78%)

URIN Rating

Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing #1

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Dale Earnhardt (77%)

URIN Rating

Ryan Preece

RFK Racing #60

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Rusty Wallace (77%)

URIN Rating

AJ Allmendinger

Kaulig Racing #16

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Mark Martin (76%)

URIN Rating

Michael McDowell

Spire Motorsports #71

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Mark Martin (75%)

URIN Rating

Austin Cindric

Team Penske #2

INVICTUS: 55 · Champion Match: Rusty Wallace (75%)

URIN Rating

                URIN Rating = INVICTUS unified 0-100 score · Champion Match = historical champion DNA similarity
            

Model: URIN v4.7 · AUC 94.4% · 15.8M samples · SHA-256 Pre-Race

Championship Standings & Market Odds

After Race 10 (Talladega) · Top 20 of 40 entries

Tyler Reddick

23XI Racing #45

Odds: #1 · +800

Points Leader

484

Pts

★ LEADER

Denny Hamlin

Joe Gibbs Racing #11

Odds: #2 · +1000

374

Pts

Ryan Blaney

Team Penske #12

Odds: #3 · +1000

2023 Champion

344

Pts

Chase Elliott

Hendrick Motorsports #9

Odds: #4 · +1200

2020 Champion

340

Pts

Ty Gibbs

Joe Gibbs Racing #54

Odds: #11 · +2000

Bristol Winner

322

Pts

Kyle Larson

Hendrick Motorsports #5

Odds: #9 · +1800

2x Champion

315

Pts

Chris Buescher

RFK Racing #17

Odds: #14 · +3000

309

Pts

Carson Hocevar

Spire Motorsports #77

Odds: #15 · +3000

Talladega Winner

292

Pts

Christopher Bell

Joe Gibbs Racing #20

Odds: #12 · +2000

290

Pts

Brad Keselowski

RFK Racing #6

Odds: #6 · +1400

2012 Champion

279

Pts

William Byron

Hendrick Motorsports #24

Odds: #10 · +1800

277

Pts

Bubba Wallace

23XI Racing #23

Odds: #8 · +1600

276

Pts

Ryan Preece

RFK Racing #60

Odds: #16 · +3500

269

Pts

Daniel Suarez

Spire Motorsports #7

Odds: #17 · +5000

235

Pts

Joey Logano

Team Penske #22

Odds: #7 · +1400

3x Champion

234

Pts

Austin Cindric

Team Penske #2

Odds: #5 · +1200

Playoff Cutline

226

Pts

Chase Briscoe

Joe Gibbs Racing #19

Odds: #13 · +2200

222

Pts

Shane van Gisbergen

Trackhouse Racing #97

Odds: Longshot · +8000

195

Pts

AJ Allmendinger

Kaulig Racing #16

Odds: Longshot · +10000

183

Pts

Michael McDowell

Spire Motorsports #71

Odds: Longshot · +12500

179

Pts

Information Only: RaceHP.ai provides data analysis tools only. We are not a gambling service. All predictions are for informational purposes.